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Original Article
Thyroid
Dynamic Risk Model for the Medical Treatment of Graves’ Hyperthyroidism according to Treatment Duration
Meihua Jin, Chae A Kim, Min Ji Jeon, Won Bae Kim, Tae Yong Kim, Won Gu Kim
Endocrinol Metab. 2024;39(4):579-589.   Published online May 23, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3803/EnM.2024.1918
  • 6,090 View
  • 192 Download
  • 3 Web of Science
  • 3 Crossref
AbstractAbstract PDFSupplementary MaterialPubReader   ePub   
Background
Changes in thyrotropin receptor antibody (TRAb) levels are associated with the clinical outcomes of Graves’ hyperthyroidism. However, the effects of the patterns of TRAb changes on patient prognosis according to the treatment duration of antithyroid drugs (ATDs) are not well established.
Methods
In this retrospective cohort study, 1,235 patients with Graves’ hyperthyroidism who were treated with ATDs for more than 12 months were included. Patients were divided into two groups according to treatment duration: group 1 (12–24 months) and group 2 (>24 months). Risk prediction models comprising age, sex, and either TRAb levels at ATD withdrawal (model A) or patterns of TRAb changes (model B) were compared.
Results
The median treatment duration in groups 1 (n=667, 54%) and 2 (n=568, 46%) was 17.3 and 37.1 months, respectively. The recurrence rate was significantly higher in group 2 (47.9%) than in group 1 (41.4%, P=0.025). Group 2 had significantly more goiter, thyroid eye disease, and fluctuating and smoldering type of TRAb pattern compared with group 1 (all P<0.001). The patterns of TRAb changes were an independent risk factor for recurrence after adjusting for other confounding factors in all patients, except in group 1. Integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement analyses showed that model B performed better than model A in all patients, except in group 1.
Conclusion
The dynamic risk model, including the patterns of TRAb changes, was more suitable for predicting prognosis in patients with Graves’ hyperthyroidism who underwent longer ATD treatment duration.

Citations

Citations to this article as recorded by  
  • Integrating shear wave elastography into clinical prediction of Graves’ disease recurrence: a novel risk scoring system
    Xiao-Yun Zha, Ze-Hong Xu, Jia-Jia Dong, Liang-Xiao Xie, Peng-Bin Lai, Chang-Shun Wei, Hua-Qiang Zheng, Duo-Bin Huang, Jin-Zhi Wu
    Frontiers in Endocrinology.2025;[Epub]     CrossRef
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    Hwa Young Ahn, Jooyoung Lee, Mina Kim, Jeong Kyu Lee
    Endocrine.2025; 90(1): 248.     CrossRef
  • High TRAb Titer at Diagnosis Predicts Persistent Positivity and Relapse in Graves’ Disease after Prolonged Antithyroid Therapy
    Zimiao Chen, Jinglu Xu, Wenrui Kang, Yang Zhang, Rujun Chen, Xiaohua Gong
    Endocrinology and Metabolism.2025; 40(6): 950.     CrossRef
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Review Article
Thyroid
Graves' Disease: Can It Be Cured?
Wilmar M. Wiersinga
Endocrinol Metab. 2019;34(1):29-38.   Published online March 21, 2019
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3803/EnM.2019.34.1.29
  • 36,967 View
  • 761 Download
  • 56 Web of Science
  • 60 Crossref
AbstractAbstract PDFPubReader   ePub   

Whether or not Graves' hyperthyroidism can be really cured, depends on the definition of “cure.” If eradication of thyroid hormone excess suffices for the label “cure,” then all patients can be cured because total thyroidectomy or high doses of 131I will abolish hyperthyroidism albeit at the expense of creating another disease (hypothyroidism) requiring lifelong medication with levothyroxine. I would not call this a “cure,” which I would like to define as a state with stable thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), free thyroxine, and triiodothyronine serum concentrations in the normal range in the absence of any thyroid medication. Surgery and radioiodine are unlikely to result in so-defined cures, as their preferable aim as stated in guidelines is to cause permanent hypothyroidism. Discontinuation of antithyroid drugs is followed by 50% recurrences within 4 years; before starting therapy the risk of recurrences can be estimated with the Graves' Recurrent Events After Therapy (GREAT) score. At 20-year follow-up about 62% had developed recurrent hyperthyroidism, 8% had subclinical hypothyroidism, and 3% overt hypothyroidism related to TSH receptor blocking antibodies and thyroid peroxidase antibodies. Only 27% was in remission, and might be considered cured. If the definition of “cure” would also include the disappearance of thyroid antibodies in serum, the proportion of cured patients would become even lower.

Citations

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