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1Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Eunpyeong St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
2Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Soongsil University, Seoul, Korea
3Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
4Division of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Department of Internal Medicine, Yeouido St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
Copyright © 2025 Korean Endocrine Society
This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-Commercial License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) which permits unrestricted non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
This study was performed using the database from the National Health Insurance System and the results do not necessarily represent the opinion of the National Health Insurance Corporation.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conception or design: J.K., K.D.H., E.Y.L., S.H.L., D.J.L., H.S.K., J.L. Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data: J.L, K.D.H., E.Y.L., S.H.L., D.J.L., H.S.K., J.L. Drafting the work or revising: J.K., J.L. Final approval of the manuscript: J.L.
Values are expressed as mean±standard deviation, number (%), or geometric mean (95% confidence interval). P values for the trend were <0.001 for all variables due to large size of the study population.
TyG, triglyceride-glucose; DM, diabetes mellitus; BMI, body mass index; CKD, chronic kidney disease; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate.
Model 1: Unadjusted; Model 2: Adjusted for age and sex; Model 3: Adjusted for model 2 plus body mass index, income, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, oral anti-diabetic drugs at least three or more, insulin therapy; Model 4: Adjusted for model 3 plus total cholesterol.
TyG, triglyceride-glucose; CVD, cardiovascular disease; IR, incidence rate; PY, person-year; MI, myocardial infarction.
Model 1: Unadjusted; Model 2: Adjusted for age and sex; Model 3: Adjusted for model 2 plus body mass index, income, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, oral anti-diabetic drugs at least three or more, insulin therapy; Model 4: Adjusted for model 3 plus total cholesterol.
TyG, triglyceride-glucose; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DM, diabetes mellitus; IR, incidence rate; PY, person-year.
Model 1: Unadjusted; Model 2: Adjusted for age and sex; Model 3: Adjusted for model 2 plus body mass index, income, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, oral anti-diabetic drugs at least three or more, insulin therapy; Model 4: Adjusted for model 3 plus total cholesterol.
TyG, triglyceride-glucose; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DM, diabetes mellitus; IR, incidence rate; PY, person-year.
Characteristic | Total (n=1,090,485) | TyG index |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q1 (n=272,523) | Q2 (n=272,763) | Q3 (n=272,554) | Q4 (n=272,645) | ||
Age, yr | 55.96±12.47 | 59.05±12.55 | 57.65±12.37 | 55.50±12.11 | 51.64±11.54 |
Age group, yr | |||||
<40 | 97,943 (8.98) | 17,359 (6.37) | 18,974 (6.96) | 23,830 (8.74) | 37,780 (13.86) |
40–49 | 233,373 (21.40) | 40,293 (14.79) | 49,537 (18.16) | 61,209 (22.46) | 82,334 (30.20) |
≥50 | 759,169 (69.62) | 214,871 (78.85) | 204,252 (74.88) | 187,515 (68.8) | 152,531 (55.94) |
Sex | |||||
Male | 747,558 (68.55) | 166,373 (61.05) | 175,866 (64.48) | 190,340 (69.84) | 214,979 (78.85) |
Female | 342,927 (31.45) | 106,150 (38.95) | 96,897 (35.52) | 82,214 (30.16) | 57,666 (21.15) |
DM duration, yr | 99,879 (36.65) | 126,497 (46.38) | 143,373 (52.60) | 159,372 (58.45) | |
New-onset | 529,121 (48.52) | ||||
<5 | 206,752 (18.96) | 61,927 (22.72) | 53,833 (19.74) | 47,660 (17.49) | 43,332 (15.89) |
5–9 | 171,006 (15.68) | 50,921 (18.69) | 44,521 (16.32) | 39,936 (14.65) | 35,628 (13.07) |
≥10 | 183,606 (16.84) | 59,796 (21.94) | 47,912 (17.57) | 41,585 (15.26) | 34,313 (12.59) |
DM treatment | |||||
Taking three or more oral anti-diabetic agents | 164,239 (15.06) | 44,485 (16.32) | 41,503 (15.22) | 40,354 (14.81) | 37,897 (13.90) |
Insulin | 61,870 (5.67) | 22,738 (8.34) | 14,677 (5.38) | 12,607 (4.63) | 11,848 (4.35) |
Height, cm | 164.7±9.08 | 162.82±8.95 | 163.77±9.14 | 165.06±9.03 | 167.15±8.60 |
Weigh, kg | 68.62±13.03 | 63.62±11.39 | 67.41±12.35 | 70.13±12.87 | 73.31±13.42 |
BMI, kg/m2 | 25.18±3.65 | 23.93±3.43 | 25.04±3.57 | 25.64±3.59 | 26.12±3.63 |
Waist circumference, cm | 85.64±9.12 | 82.34±9.01 | 85.24±8.92 | 86.83±8.77 | 88.15±8.72 |
Obesity | 536,322 (49.18) | 94,027 (34.5) | 128,740 (47.2) | 148,663 (54.54) | 164,892 (60.48) |
CKD | 63,775 (5.85) | 17,516 (6.43) | 17,489 (6.41) | 15,977 (5.86) | 12,793 (4.69) |
Low income | 230,501 (21.14) | 60,300 (22.13) | 58,081 (21.29) | 56,609 (20.77) | 55,511 (20.36) |
Smoking status | |||||
Never smoker | 532,745 (48.85) | 159,995 (58.71) | 145,120 (53.20) | 127,571 (46.81) | 100,059 (36.70) |
Ex-smoker | 251,324 (23.05) | 61,989 (22.75) | 62,962 (23.08) | 64,064 (23.51) | 62,309 (22.85) |
Current smoker | 306,416 (28.10) | 50,539 (18.54) | 64,681 (23.71) | 80,919 (29.69) | 110,277 (40.45) |
Alcohol consumption | 127,595 (11.70) | 19,593 (7.19) | 25,763 (9.45) | 33,679 (12.36) | 48,560 (17.81) |
Regular exercise | 235,562 (21.60) | 69,855 (25.63) | 61,676 (22.61) | 55,354 (20.31) | 48,677 (17.85) |
SBP, mm Hg | 128.50±15.10 | 125.96±14.90 | 128.15±14.93 | 129.21±14.93 | 130.67±15.25 |
DBP, mm Hg | 79.08±10.13 | 76.54±9.71 | 78.47±9.83 | 79.76±9.97 | 81.54±10.34 |
LDL-C, mg/dL | 115.36±34.26 | 110.37±30.27 | 118.05±32.16 | 118.8±34.48 | 114.21±38.85 |
HDL-C, mg/dL | 51.20±15.42 | 56.83±16.83 | 52.33±15.13 | 49.35±14.00 | 46.30±13.52 |
Fasting glucose, mg/dL | 149.92±46.56 | 125.71±24.95 | 139.28±29.14 | 151.55±37.59 | 183.13±63.09 |
Total cholesterol, mg/dL | 199.16±38.79 | 182.47±33.58 | 194.65±34.91 | 202.87±36.64 | 216.64±41.36 |
eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2 | 93.06±56.60 | 92.07±51.32 | 91.99±55.62 | 92.54±55.68 | 95.64±63.06 |
Triglyceride, mg/dL | 143.72 (143.56–143.88) | 72.58 (72.50–72.67) | 118.72 (118.62–118.82) | 169.76 (169.61–169.91) | 291.64 (291.21–292.08) |
Disease | TyG | Number | CVD events | IR, /1,000 PY | Hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |||||
CVD | ||||||||
Q1 | 272,523 | 14,913 | 9.74 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 272,763 | 14,691 | 9.56 | 0.98 (0.96–1.01) | 1.06 (1.04–1.08) | 1.06 (1.03–1.08) | 1.04 (1.01–1.06) | |
Q3 | 272,554 | 14,373 | 9.34 | 0.96 (0.94–0.98) | 1.16 (1.14–1.19) | 1.15 (1.12–1.18) | 1.11 (1.08–1.14) | |
Q4 | 272,645 | 14,146 | 9.19 | 0.95 (0.93–0.97) | 1.42 (1.38–1.45) | 1.36 (1.32–1.39) | 1.28 (1.25–1.31) | |
MI | ||||||||
Q1 | 272,523 | 7,118 | 4.59 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 272,763 | 6,995 | 4.50 | 0.98 (0.95–1.01) | 1.04 (1.01–1.08) | 1.04 (1.01–1.08) | 1.02 (0.98–1.02) | |
Q3 | 272,554 | 6,919 | 4.44 | 0.97 (0.94–1.00) | 1.13 (1.10–1.17) | 1.12 (1.09–1.16) | 1.07 (1.04–1.11) | |
Q4 | 272,645 | 6,987 | 4.49 | 0.98 (0.95–1.01) | 1.6 (1.32–1.41) | 1.31 (1.27–1.36) | 1.22 (1.17–1.26) | |
Stroke | ||||||||
Q1 | 272,523 | 8,608 | 5.57 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 272,763 | 8,475 | 5.46 | 0.98 (0.95–1.01) | 1.07 (1.04–1.10) | 1.07 (1.04–1.10) | 1.05 (1.02–1.09) | |
Q3 | 272,554 | 8,240 | 5.30 | 0.95 (0.93–0.98) | 1.19 (1.16–1.23) | 1.18 (1.14–1.21) | 1.14 (1.11–1.18) | |
Q4 | 272,645 | 7,918 | 5.09 | 0.92 (0.89–0.95) | 1.47 (1.43–1.52) | 1.40 (1.36–1.45) | 1.34 (1.29–1.38) | |
Mortality | ||||||||
Q1 | 272,523 | 22,861 | 14.60 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 272,763 | 18,598 | 11.83 | 0.81 (0.80–0.83) | 0.91 (0.90–0.93) | 0.97 (0.95–0.99) | 1.00 (0.98–1.02) | |
Q3 | 272,554 | 15,333 | 9.74 | 0.67 (0.66–0.68) | 0.90 (0.88–0.92) | 0.96 (0.94–0.98) | 1.02 (0.99–1.04) | |
Q4 | 272,645 | 12,911 | 8.20 | 0.57 (0.55–0.58) | 1.05 (1.03–1.08) | 1.09 (1.06–1.11) | 1.19 (1.16–1.22) |
DM duration | TyG | Number | CVD events | IR, /1,000 PY | Hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |||||
New-onset | ||||||||
Q1 | 99,879 | 3,428 | 6.03 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 126,497 | 4,577 | 6.37 | 1.06 (1.01–1.10) | 1.08 (1.03–1.13) | 1.06 (1.02–1.11) | 1.04 (0.99–1.09) | |
Q3 | 143,373 | 5,118 | 6.27 | 1.04 (1.00–1.09) | 1.15 (1.10–1.20) | 1.12 (1.07–1.67) | 1.07 (1.02–1.12) | |
Q4 | 159,372 | 5,669 | 6.25 | 1.04 (1.00–1.08) | 1.34 (1.28–1.40) | 1.26 (1.21–1.32) | 1.18 (1.13–1.23) | |
<5 years | ||||||||
Q1 | 61,927 | 3,235 | 9.21 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 53,833 | 2,890 | 9.44 | 1.03 (0.98–1.08) | 1.08 (1.02–1.13) | 1.07 (1.02–1.12) | 1.04 (0.99–1.09) | |
Q3 | 47,660 | 2,486 | 9.15 | 0.99 (0.94–1.05) | 1.15 (1.09–1.21) | 1.12 (1.07–1.18) | 1.08 (1.02–1.13) | |
Q4 | 43,332 | 2,237 | 9.06 | 0.99 (0.93–1.04) | 1.39 (1.32–1.47) | 1.33 (1.26–1.40) | 1.23 (1.16–1.30) | |
5–9 years | ||||||||
Q1 | 50,921 | 3,374 | 11.83 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 44,521 | 2,952 | 11.80 | 1.00 (0.95–1.05) | 1.04 (0.99–1.09) | 1.02 (0.98–1.08) | 1.00 (0.95–1.05) | |
Q3 | 39,936 | 2,801 | 12.46 | 1.05 (1.00–1.11) | 1.20 (1.14–1.26) | 1.16 (1.11–1.22) | 1.12 (1.06–1.17) | |
Q4 | 35,628 | 2,621 | 13.14 | 1.11 (1.06–1.17) | 1.53 (1.45–1.61) | 1.44 (1.37–1.51) | 1.34 (1.27–1.41) | |
≥10 years | ||||||||
Q1 | 59,796 | 4,876 | 14.91 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 47,912 | 4,272 | 16.30 | 1.09 (1.05–1.14) | 1.12 (1.07–1.16) | 1.10 (1.05–1.14) | 1.07 (1.03–1.12) | |
Q3 | 41,585 | 3,968 | 17.53 | 1.18 (1.13–1.23) | 1.28 (1.23–1.34) | 1.25 (1.19–1.30) | 1.20 (1.15–1.25) | |
Q4 | 34,313 | 3,619 | 19.47 | 1.31 (1.25–1.35) | 1.65 (1.58–1.72) | 1.54 (1.48–1.61) | 1.44 (1.38–1.50) | |
P for interaction | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
DM duration | TyG | Number | CVD events | IR, /1,000 PY | Hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) |
|||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |||||
New-onset | ||||||||
Q1 | 99,879 | 5,043 | 8.75 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 126,497 | 5,564 | 7.63 | 0.87 (0.84–0.91) | 0.92 (0.88–0.95) | 0.96 (0.94–1.01) | 1.01 (0.97–1.05) | |
Q3 | 143,373 | 5,073 | 6.12 | 0.70 (0.68–0.73) | 0.85 (0.82–0.89) | 0.92 (0.88–0.96) | 0.97 (0.93–1.01) | |
Q4 | 159,372 | 4,708 | 5.11 | 0.59 (0.56–0.61) | 0.95 (0.91–0.98) | 1.00 (0.96–1.04) | 1.09 (1.04–1.13) | |
<5 years | ||||||||
Q1 | 61,927 | 4,907 | 13.67 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 53,833 | 3,582 | 11.44 | 0.84 (0.80–0.88) | 0.91 (0.87–0.95) | 0.96 (0.92–1.00) | 1.00 (0.95–1.04) | |
Q3 | 47,660 | 2,652 | 9.54 | 0.70 (0.67–0.73) | 0.88 (0.84–0.93) | 0.94 (0.90–0.99) | 1.00 (0.95–1.05) | |
Q4 | 43,332 | 2,030 | 8.03 | 0.59 (0.56–0.62) | 1.03 (0.98–1.09) | 1.06 (1.01–1.12) | 1.17 (1.11–1.23) | |
5–9 years | ||||||||
Q1 | 50,921 | 5,171 | 17.64 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 44,521 | 3,821 | 14.84 | 0.84 (0.81–0.88) | 0.90 (0.87–0.94) | 0.95 (0.91–0.99) | 0.98 (0.94–1.02) | |
Q3 | 39,936 | 2,994 | 12.92 | 0.73 (0.70–0.77) | 0.90 (0.86–0.95) | 0.94 (0.90–0.99) | 0.99 (0.95–1.04) | |
Q4 | 35,628 | 2,478 | 12.02 | 0.68 (0.65–0.71) | 1.14 (1.08–1.19) | 1.13 (1.08–1.19) | 1.23 (1.18–1.30) | |
≥10 years | ||||||||
Q1 | 59,796 | 7,740 | 22.90 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | 1.0 (reference) | |
Q2 | 47,912 | 5,631 | 20.69 | 0.90 (0.87–0.94) | 0.95 (0.92–0.98) | 0.98 (0.95–1.01) | 1.01 (0.98–1.05) | |
Q3 | 41,585 | 4,614 | 19.53 | 0.85 (0.82–0.89) | 1.00 (0.97–1.04) | 1.03 (0.99–1.07) | 1.09 (1.05–1.13) | |
Q4 | 99,879 | 5,043 | 18.97 | 0.83 (0.80–0.86) | 1.22 (1.17–1.27) | 1.18 (1.14–1.23) | 1.29 (1.24–1.34) | |
P for interaction | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 | <0.001 |
Values are expressed as mean±standard deviation, number (%), or geometric mean (95% confidence interval). TyG, triglyceride-glucose; DM, diabetes mellitus; BMI, body mass index; CKD, chronic kidney disease; SBP, systolic blood pressure; DBP, diastolic blood pressure; LDL-C, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol; HDL-C, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate.
Model 1: Unadjusted; Model 2: Adjusted for age and sex; Model 3: Adjusted for model 2 plus body mass index, income, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, oral anti-diabetic drugs at least three or more, insulin therapy; Model 4: Adjusted for model 3 plus total cholesterol. TyG, triglyceride-glucose; CVD, cardiovascular disease; IR, incidence rate; PY, person-year; MI, myocardial infarction.
Model 1: Unadjusted; Model 2: Adjusted for age and sex; Model 3: Adjusted for model 2 plus body mass index, income, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, oral anti-diabetic drugs at least three or more, insulin therapy; Model 4: Adjusted for model 3 plus total cholesterol. TyG, triglyceride-glucose; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DM, diabetes mellitus; IR, incidence rate; PY, person-year.
Model 1: Unadjusted; Model 2: Adjusted for age and sex; Model 3: Adjusted for model 2 plus body mass index, income, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, oral anti-diabetic drugs at least three or more, insulin therapy; Model 4: Adjusted for model 3 plus total cholesterol. TyG, triglyceride-glucose; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DM, diabetes mellitus; IR, incidence rate; PY, person-year.